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Man City vs. Wolves prediction, betting tips & odds for Premier League match


The Premier League title leaders look to keep hold of their grip on the English top flight as Man City welcome Wolves to the Etihad Stadium on Saturday.

Pep Guardiola has won three straight Premier League titles and appears in line for an unprecedented fourth, but the room for error is razor-thin. City control their own destiny in the title race, even as they do not lead the standings, sitting a point behind Arsenal — it’s their game in hand which sees City given the advantage, as their maximum possible points are two higher than the Gunners.

With just four games remaining in the chase, City must win to keep Arsenal at bay, with the Gunners holding a significant goal differential advantage of seven. Any dropped points would allow Mikel Arteta’s side a window in for a late triumph at City’s expense.

Wolves sit 11th in the table and have little to play for, and it’s shown, as their standards have slipped over the last month. They finally ended a seven-match winless run with a 2-1 victory over relegation-threatened Luton Town, but have overall been poor of late, with little natural motivation at hand.

They do sit as one of just four clubs to beat Man City outright this season, and playing spoiler in the title race would certainly be motivation enough, but it’s tough to simply turn the switch back on after having been on the beach for so long.

USA: Click here to see the latest odds for Man City vs Wolves and bet Premier League matches

Man City have been incredibly consistent down the stretch of seasons under Pep Guardiola, losing just four times in the final six matches of the season under the Spanish boss across his previous seven years in charge. In that time, they’ve won 33 matches and drawn five, giving him a fantastic 79 percent win rate.

If you narrow that even further to just the games across the final six fixtures in seasons which Man City won the title, but it was not yet mathematically clinched, Guardiola has won 18 games while drawing just one and losing two — and in one of those defeats, the title was confirmed shortly after anyways thanks to outside results.

There’s a feeling of inevitability about this title chase, and Wolves are just another club in the way of Guardola’s Thanos-like grip on the Premier League. Add in the extra motivation for revenge from the reverse fixture, and this match can only end one way.

Of the three title contenders, Arsenal have been strong in the first half, looking to build and hold a lead, while Liverpool have been second-half warriors, looking as if they’ve played with fire one too many times. The only side of the three to prove consistent across both halves is Man City, who have the most regular distribution of goals through the first and second 45 minutes of play.

City this season have scored 41 percent of their goals in the first half, which is right in the middle of the pack for Premier League clubs. Arsenal have scored 46 percent of their goals before the break, just two percentage points off the most in the league (Nottingham Forest, Chelsea, and Aston Villa all tied), while Liverpool have scored a whopping 66 percent of their goals after the break, the wildest second-half distribution in the English top flight.

Wolves, for their part, are wildly skewed towards the second half like Liverpool from a goal scoring perspective, but from a concession standpoint they are more evenly distributed, and should be ripe for the picking throughout the match. There’s a bit of danger in this selection that one Wolves goal could ruin a half, but with Man City to score in both halves at -175, that would be better for a parlay, while there’s far more value in this selection as a standalone pick.

Annoyingly, the betting market has finally caught up to Phil Foden, sporting minus goal scorer odds for the first time this season. The England star missed the last match against Nottingham Forest due to an illness, and has been in and out of the lineup in Premier League play thanks to Guardiola’s decision to leave him largely to the Champions League until their elimination.

But when Foden is in, he’s feasted upon Premier League opponents — he’s scored multiple goals in each of his last two appearances, bagging a hat-trick against Aston Villa and a brace against Brighton. In fact, expand it to all of 2024, and Foden has struck for multiple goals in four of the five Premier League games in which he’s scored at all.

The 23-year-old scored against Wolves last year and has two goals against the club in five appearances. He was a creative force in the defeat earlier this season, but with Erling Haaland struggling for goals, Foden has put those duties aside and become a much more potent finisher towards the latter half of this season.

This important Premier League match in the larger picture of the title race will be televised in the United States on NBC, with the match also streamed on NBC’s dedicated service Peacock. There is also a Spanish-language broadcast available on Telemundo.

Both NBC and Telemundo can be found streaming on Fubo, who are offering a FREE trial for new users.

Domestically in the UK, this match will be televised on Sky Sports platforms. In Canada the match can be found on exclusive streaming service Fubo, who are the exclusive broadcast rights-holders in the country and make every single match of the 2023/24 season available for subscribers.

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